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August 30, 2005

Life on Planet Earth


I don't have much to say about Katrina that hasn't already been said. Maybe I'm looking in the wrong places, but I don't think I've seen this yet though -- it will ultimately overwhelm Andrew in terms of the cost and time it takes to recover. Once the levees broke in New Orleans, all bets were off. It's the worst place for a storm of this sort, and it finally happened.

Welcome to life on Planet Earth.

Why I need a vacation


I'm in the middle of trying to get ready for vacation, and so I'm fiddling with the venerable Powerbook (Wall Street G3), which is essentially a 6 pound (or whatever) desktop. The battery's dead -- I'm done spending money on trying to make it work, and if my ship comes in with a cargo of dollars, my name lit up on the prow, I'm in the market for a $1200 - $1300 laptop. That said, I fiddled around with the G3 to make sure it's got my bookmarks, email addresses, etc. on it, and browsed a bit, coming up with something that's entirely off this topic. Now you know why I need a vacation.

Here's a reason in favor of capital punishment I hadn't thought of before. What do you do with the convicted murdered, already sentenced to life, who murders in prison? I don't think capital punishment is unconstitutional. One argument in favor of capital punishment is that it deters murders, but I don't think that's true and I think it's been pretty much proven to be not true. I'm not morally offended by the very idea of capital punishment either, but I am concerned about false positives, or conviction of the truly innocent. And while I value accurate guilty verdicts and appropriate sentences, I think our present system of essentially unlimited post-conviction appeals makes a mockery of the entire process.

And though the problem of what to do with convicted, sentenced-to-life killers doesn't seem to me to be the biggest issue in the mix, it does seem to be an argument in favor of at least one capital crime.

August 28, 2005

The Big and Wet and Windy Easy


I've been watching the news since 6:00 AM after catching this on Instapundit about Hurricane Katrina. Since then I've bounced around and found several sites with info and detail not available on TV -- here, and here, and here. All good resources. And I've been watching New Orleans TV streaming coverage, which also has been especially informative when their weather experts are on.

And if all of that isn't bad enough, the National Weather Service has issued a warning the like of which I've never seen. I'd bold some stuff for emphasis but then I'd bold the entire thing.
INLAND HURRICANE WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT
UNTIL 10:00PM CDT
Urgent - Weather Message National Weather Service New Orleans LA 413 PM CDT Sun Aug 28 2005

... Extremely Dangerous Hurricane Katrina Continues To Approach The Mississippi River Delta... ... Devastating Damage Expected...

Most Of The Area Will Be Uninhabitable For Weeks... Perhaps Longer. At Least One Half Of Well Constructed Homes Will Have Roof And Wall Failure. All Gabled Roofs Will Fail... Leaving Those Homes Severely Damaged Or Destroyed.

The Majority Of Industrial Buildings Will Become Non Functional. Partial To Complete Wall And Roof Failure Is Expected. All Wood Framed Low Rising Apartment Buildings Will Be Destroyed. Concrete Block Low Rise Apartments Will Sustain Major Damage... Including Some Wall And Roof Failure.

High Rise Office And Apartment Buildings Will Sway Dangerously... A Few To The Point Of Total Collapse. All Windows Will Blow Out.

Airborne Debris Will Be Widespread... And May Include Heavy Items Such As Household Appliances And Even Light Vehicles. Sport Utility Vehicles And Light Trucks Will Be Moved. The Blown Debris Will Create Additional Destruction. Persons... Pets... And Livestock Exposed To The Winds Will Face Certain Death If Struck.

Power Outages Will Last For Weeks... As Most Power Poles Will Be Down And Transformers Destroyed. Water Shortages Will Make Human Suffering Incredible By Modern Standards.

The Vast Majority Of Native Trees Will Be Snapped Or Uprooted. Only The Heartiest Will Remain Standing... But Be Totally Defoliated. Few Crops Will Remain. Livestock Left Exposed To The Winds Will Be Killed.
Fox News has Geraldo Rivera reading this verbatim -- they've finally found a use for him.

The whole day has been like watching a disaster movie in slow motion -- the first 30-45 minutes of the movie are always about setting up the big bad thing that's going to happen, and that's what's been happening for the last 15 hours.

There's nothing easy about what's about to happen, but it will be big.

August 27, 2005

Willow Grove, the Saturday After


I'm not at all sure how hard this should be to figure out, but a day after Gov. Rendell won his lawsuit to keep the 111th PA National Guard Fighter Wing active, and a day after the BRAC Commission decided to close Willow Grove NAS JRB where the Wing is located, it's still unclear in my mind what will happen to the planes, 15 A-10 "Warthogs", or the Wing itself. Not so much the base, though, which now faces an uphill battle to survive.

As to the planes, according to the Philadelphia Inquirer, they're gone, three sets of three each to go to other units and the remaining six to the graveyard.
The federal Base Closure and Realignment Commission dropped the Pentagon's request to deactivate the 111th Fighter Wing of the Pennsylvania Air National Guard, the base's primary operating unit.

If the unit remains on duty, however, it is unclear what it will do, because 15 A-10 "Warthog" attack planes now at the base will be reassigned.

. . . .

"They didn't deactivate the 111th, but they gave away the airplanes," said Dan McCaffrey, cochair of the regional military affairs committee of the Suburban Horsham Willow Grove Chamber of Commerce.

"Gov. Rendell has 1,700 air guardsmen but no planes," McCaffrey said, referring to part-time and full-time service people. "Now the question is: Do they still have any funding?"

Adrian King, director of the Pennsylvania Emergency Management Agency and Rendell's point man on the lawsuit, said the base-closing committee had the power to close the base and move the aircraft.

"Overall, the BRAC does have the discretion to close the real estate, and they appear to have done that," King said.
Well I suppose if they say they took the planes, then they took the planes. But I listened again to the BRAC hearing linked to below, and it sure sounded to me that the motion preceding the final vote to close the base deleted references to deactivating the Wing and moving the planes. I looked briefly on the BRAC DoD website to find the original recommendation, which I thought might help figure this out, but I gave up. It's a Saturday afternoon afterall, and like I said before, I only know enough to be dangerous about the legalities of this stuff. Yet still, I labor on.

The Philadelphia Daily News took a different, more personal tack.
Indeed, the battle over the future of the historic air base had consumed this leafy suburb of rolling hills and shopping centers for much of the summer. It's almost impossible to drive anywhere in Willow Grove or the surrounding Montgomery County communities without seeing "Save Our Base" yard signs, even on a lawn next to the Double Visions Erotic Go-Go Club.
Ah yes -- my hometown. A leafy suburb of rolling hills, shopping centers, and the Double Visions Erotic Go-Go Club. I've gotta remember to buy some postcards.

What about the Wing?
Col. Gregory Marston, commander of the 111th and Col. Paul Comtois, the air-commander of the 111th, declined to speculate on the fate of the unit. Marston noted that Congress and the president must still sign off on the BRAC decision, and "meanwhile, our job is to prepare airmen for combat and we will continue to do so," he said. "The whole process takes years and we have to keep going."
If nothing else, with a little luck maybe the Base will be around for one final Air Show.

And what about the Base?
State Sen. Stewart Greenleaf, a Republican whose district includes Montgomery and Bucks counties, said he is hopeful the state can keep the air field open as its own facility, as was done several years ago with a base at Indiantown Gap. "I think it is important for us to maintain our security and for us to maintain the importance of the military here."
I have no idea how this will play out, but then again, it's still only Saturday afternoon.

[Linked to LT Smash's Liberty Call.

August 26, 2005

Required Reading


This is not short, but read the whole thing, and then complain if you think I wasted your time.

Rendell Wins But Willow Grove Loses


Back in July I didn't know how Gov. Rendell's lawsuit, claiming that the 111th PA Air National Guard Unit couldn't be deactivated without his consent, would turn out. Well now I know -- at least for the time being anyway -- Rendell won. The decision is here, and I've skimmed it. Half of the ruling is devoted to disposing of various arguments made by the Feds that the case was premature or that Rendell didn't have standing to bring the suit. Before reading it I had absolutely no idea of the legal structure of the National Guard. Having read it, I now know enough to be dangerous, I suppose.

Essentially, the Court said that laws passed decades ago -- indeed before the Willow Grove NAS JRB even existed and that goes back to the 1940's -- prevented the President from closing National Guard units without a Governor's agreement. Ultimately, when the knife struck the meat and bone, the Feds argued that the laws establishing the BRAC process overruled those earlier laws preventing a President from essentially stripping a State of Guard units. The Court ruled squarely in favor of the Governor on those grounds.

Rendell was elated, but for how long? More or less at the same time the decision was released, Willow Grove NAS JRB came before the BRAC hearing. The 8 or so minutes devoted to Willow Grove appear at approximately 1:24:30 on the CSPAN video of the afternoon's hearings, available here. (Click on BRAC Markup - Day Three, Afternoon Session). After a routine description of the proposed realignment of forces and assets stationed at the base, the Chairman, Anthony Principi called for questions. I couldn't find a transcript so I typed this out myself.
Admiral Gehman: Thank you Mr. Chairman. Colleagues, this closure of the Joint Reserve Base at Willow Grove -- any time we deal with a closure it gives us great pause. This closure is part of the total Air Guard lay down, it frees up units, frees up airplanes, moves them around in accordance with our Master Plan, and uh, therefore, it's probably the right thing to do. This has been a Naval Air Station and then a Joint Reserve Base for decades and decades and decades. The people of this community and the functions at Willow Grove that have been performed over the years have been remarkable, they've been important to the national defense of the country, the community has been enormously supportive of Willow Grove for decades. It's uh, it's a fabulous base, and our vote here today in no way should be taken that, as a signal that they're doing something wrong or that somethings not right. This is a very very good installation, a very succesful experiment in joint basing, uh and uh, the only reason it's on the table is because it's swept up in the larger plan of uh, other bases. I myself know what a great contribution the citizens have made, the great contribution that this base has made over the years, and I regret that it's come to this but the greater good of the Deptartment and the country requires that we take this action. Thank you Mr. Chairman.

Chairman Principi: Thank you Admiral Gehman and I certainly associate myself with your comments. This is a painful decision, but I believe that it's the right decision, and that we did not find substantial deviation from the military value criteria. However as Admiral Gehman said the people of Willow Grove has served the nation very very well.
So it's "We're sorry, but . . . ."? Actually, that's about how I saw this turning out. I haven't watched any other parts of the hearings so I don't know if that's a general litany or if Willow Grove got special treatment. But Willow Grove's problem is that it's not large enough and can't become much larger. So in an environment of shrinking needs the Base is hard pressed to justify it's cost when it's functions can be performed elsewhere in a larger facility, for less.

After these speeches Principi turned the floor over for a motion and I was confused at first. The panel seemed to vote that the DoD findings and recommendations to close the base were unfounded -- but after reading other takes here and here I agree that's not what happened. The Commission only deleted references (from their report on Willow Grove) to the 111th Fighter Wing of the Air National Guard, the same unit which was the subject of Rendell's lawsuit, and then unanimously voted to adopt the report and close the Base. The 111th will not be deactivated. The Base will.

Back to that lawsuit. Rendell never challenged the recommendation to close the Base -- he only fought the decision to shut down the Fighter Wing. This was a smart call, since the law he was relying upon says nothing about bases or funding them. So as things now stand, the PA National Guard seems to have a Fighter Wing with a dozen or so planes (A-10's at that, which are not fighters to begin with if that makes any difference), and no base. I don't know much about who pays for National Guard Attack Fighter Wings, but short of PA taking over the base when the Feds abandon it, I don't know what happens next.

[Linked to the Beltway Traffic Jam and Smash's Liberty Call.]

August 23, 2005

Funny


Eugene Volokh points to a funny video, but says he's not sure why it's funny. I don't know that I can answer him, but I do know that it's straight out of Monty Python, if that's any help.

August 22, 2005

Robert Moog (1934-2005)


Robert Moog, the inventor of the Moog Synthesizer, died yesterday. As it is with anything that happened 35 to 40 years ago, it's hard to explain to someone who wasn't there how unusual and distinctive the sound of a Moog was, and indeed still is.

Seems appropriate to listen to some ELP and Yes tonight.

August 17, 2005

Customer Service


We've had our troubles in the past here at WCRS HQ with our ISP, Comcast, although thankfully they seem to be resolved. Not so for LaChania Govan, who after complaining to Comcast received a bill addressed not in her name, but to "Bitch Dog". I give the Comcast rep who changed the name on the account 10 points for creativity and take away something like a thousand points for stupidity.

I read about this on Buzzmachine, where Jeff Jarvis has been spending time in Dell Hell. Jarvis has now written an open letter to Michael Dell -- open because he also printed it on his popular blog -- and adds some juice: "I?m typing this on an Apple Powerbook. I also have bought two more Apples for our home."

We've all fantasized at times of climbing the ladder inside a customer service system to find the person with authority to fix our problem. Jarvis did, without getting directly to Dell himself, but damn, it sure would be sweet to be in his shoes and get a callback -- "Hello? Mr. Jarvis? This is Michael Dell speaking". If that ever happened to me I swear I'd eviscerate on the spot.

August 16, 2005

Disappointed


I supposed Glenn Reynolds was just being polite by not linking to WCRS as an example, but I'm still disappointed.

August 12, 2005

Concert for Bangladesh to be Released on DVD


My indeterminate blogging vacation is interrupted for this important announcement.

Check this out!
The DVD will be released by WMG (Warner Music Group) on October 25th, 2005 in the USA, and October 24th in the rest of the world, as a 2-disc package, including the original 99-minute film restored and remixed in 5.1, as well as 72-minutes of extras. The extras feature a 45-minute documentary "The Concert For Bangladesh Revisited with George Harrison & friends" . . . .
Note to self -- start Christmas list.

[Resume vacation.]

August 2, 2005

By Design


This is sure to get some press in the coming days, and so breaking with WCRS tradition, I'm going to blog about it on the day it happened, not weeks later. Here we go:
During a round-table interview with reporters from five Texas newspapers, Bush declined to go into detail on his personal views of the origin of life. But he said students should learn about both theories, Knight Ridder Newspapers reported.

''I think that part of education is to expose people to different schools of thought,'' Bush said. ''You're asking me whether or not people ought to be exposed to different ideas, the answer is yes.''
The "both theories" is a reference, of course, to intelligent design and evolution.

I saw this first on Instapundit, and Reynolds has an inimitably link-rich post filled with a variety of libertarian/conservative blogs coming down hard on Bush.

A few thoughts. Evolution is a scientific theory. Intelligent Design is not, if for no other reason, because it is not falsifiable. Scientific theories get taught in, among other places, Biology classes. Things that are not scientific theories get taught, if at all, in other places, for other purposes. I'd like to believe that Jeff Goldstein has an angle on this point, but like Reynolds, I doubt Bush shares his subtlety.

Still, I'm at least encouraged that we're only hearing about this because a reporter asked him a question, instead of because he was proposing Congress pass something called the All Children Must Learn Intelligent Design Act. And this is not a minor point for me -- I've voted for Democrats for President before in rejection of the GOP's cultural turn to the right. I'm not at all happy that Bush said this, but I'm not fearful either it will ultimately result in a policy change.

I did not take steroids with that woman!


Last March at a Congressional hearing Rafael Palmiero emphatically denied ever, EVER, using steroids. Yesterday, MLB announced Palmiero would serve a 10 day suspension after testing positive for . . . 'er, steroids. Actually, that was the first story out of the box, but technically Palmiero tested positive and was suspended for a banned substance which has not been identified.

Palmiero, of course, denies "intentionally" taking the mystery banned substance, and maybe that's so. Will Carroll has an interesting primer with details not found on most sports pages. And Dave Pinto has collected links with thoughts from others.

The biggest problem Palmiero and MLB face is not that he's a solid first ballot Hall of Famer so much as that he had to make a big deal out of being clean, before he was caught. Pinto quotes Palmiero from USA Today:
Palmeiro's statement: "Good morning, Mr. Chairman and members of the committee. My name is Rafael Palmeiro and I am a professional baseball player. I'll be brief in my remarks today. Let me start by telling you this: I have never used steroids. Period. I don't know how to say it any more clearly than that. Never. The reference to me in Mr. Canseco's book is absolutely false. I am against the use of steroids. I don't think athletes should use steroids and I don't think our kids should use them. That point of view is one, unfortunately, that is not shared by our former colleague, Jose Canseco. Mr. Canseco is an unashamed advocate for increased steroid use by all athletes."
Yeah. And I did not have sex with that woman, Ms. Lewinsky. We've heard it before, and that's the point. Palmiero's credibility was tossed down the crapper by the test result. If Palmiero wants us to believe him, and if MLB wants us to believe in their test program's results, both have to do something to tighten the process -- they need to identify the substance he tested for and need to explain how, what, or why the positive result was either false or not. This burden falls more heavily on Palmiero than MLB, but Carroll makes a good point that baseball's testing program isn't as tightly defined as the NFL's. And while I'm sure that OJ is still suffering sleepless nights as he searches high and low for Nicole's killer, it seems to me that Palmiero uniquely has the means to identify what he took that caused the test to return a positive result. Have at it Mr. Hall of Famer.

And it wasn't simply Palmiero's credibility that took a dive. All players who've denied steroid use (or if you prefer, banned substance use) will now also be denied the benefit of the doubt to which they otherwise might have been entitled. Thanks, Raffy. I'd love to see a player make it to first against the 0's, and after a few whispered words see Palmeiro take a swing at him.

August 1, 2005

A Good Laugh

I love good parodies, and this is very good indeed.

USAMA: All right, but apart from cell phones, the satellite television, indoor plumbing, air conditioning, electricity, DVDs, SUVs, the Internet, and universal education, what have the infidels ever done for us?

ABDULLAH: Establish democracy.

USAMA: Oh. Democracy? Shut up!